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Predicting performance in Tokyo could be a problem for many countries, not only Japan.
Japan is likely to rely on seven core sports — swimming, judo, badminton, track and field, gymnastics, table tennis, and wrestling.
The pressure to hold the games during the pandemic is largely financial for the Switzerland-based International Olympic Committee, a nonprofit but highly commercial body that earns 91% of its income from selling broadcast rights and sponsorship.
Japan has attributed about 14,500 deaths to COVID-19, good by world standards but worse than many Asian neighbors.
A member of the Ugandan Olympic contingent tested positive for coronavirus last week upon arrival at Tokyo’s Narita airport.
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