Patriots-Buccaneers rematch in the Super Bowl? Why the NFL’s best defense vs. best offense is now most likely

The ultimate legacy showdown has a 10% chance of occurring, per the model, narrowly edging out Patriots-Cardinals for the most likely Super Bowl.

The Patriots had a 19% chance of earning the AFC’s top seed entering Week 13 and left Buffalo with a 46% chance after winning as a narrow underdog.

The Buccaneers were 6-point favorites at New England in Week 4.

“A QB that isn’t making mistakes and manages the game, an extremely successful running game and a defense that has given up the second-fewest points in the league.

Brady led the Bucs to a 19-17 victory over his former team in Week 4, leading a drive that resulted in the game-winning field goal with just under two minutes remaining.

At age 44 and in his second season away from New England, Brady is a serious MVP candidate.

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